Finance outlook india logo
Home News Exclusive Expert's Viewpoint Corporate Startup Fintech Personal Magazine About Us Budget'26 Budget'24
  • Budget'25 Budget'24
    • Home
    • News
    Former CEA Arvind Subramanian refers to the Domestic Base Peg as a fatal Miscalculation

    Former CEA Arvind Subramanian refers to the Domestic Base Peg as a "fatal" Miscalculation


    Finance Outlook India Team | Friday, 15 March 2024

    Arvind Subramanian, a former chief economic advisor, emphasized that India needs to "disabuse" itself of the notion that it is a large market.

    Speaking at the India Today conference was Subramanian

    In response to a query from a credible channel, which was whether or not India was a large enough market for manufacturing. He said that the nation was making a catastrophic error of judgment by expecting it could expand solely on the home market.

    "China, Vietnam, and Bangladesh were the only post-war nations to never attain 7-8% growth without a 15% increase in manufacturing exports. And the local market does not provide that," he remarked.

    Also "mystifying" to Subramanian was the government's GDP. "The most recent GDP figures are confusing and difficult to interpret. They don't stack up. For instance, the government's implied estimates of inflation range from 1.5% to 1.5%, but the real inflation rate is closer to 5%."

    Not only that, but private consumption was only growing at a rate of 3%, whilst the economy was expanding at a rate of 7.5%. According to the most recent GDP figures, the Indian economy expanded at a six-quarter high of 8.4% in the third quarter of the 2024 fiscal year.  Additionally, the GDP estimates for the first and second quarters of the current fiscal year were changed from 7.8% and 7.6% to 8.2% and 8.1%, respectively.

    In addition, Subramanian, who was the chief economic adviser from October 2014 to June 2018, said that FDI has dropped precipitously during the previous two or three quarters. Not only is FDI falling in India, but the country's proportion of FDI moving to emerging markets has decreased as well. Thus, the issue is, why isn't there more FDI into India if it has become such a desirable destination for investments? Also, corporate investment is far lower than it was in 2016," he stated.



    Read More:

    ConvoZen Launches End-to-End Conversational AI

    India & France Revise Tax Treaty, Scrap MFN Clause, Ease Dividends

    KNOWLEDGE DECK

    Most Viewed

    • The Economic Impact of India-Pakistan War: A Detailed Analysis

    • Why Financial Literacy Matters More Than Ever for Today's Youth

    • Prominent Financial Advisors in India to Partner With

    • Rags to Riches: The Top 6 Indian Entrepreneurs' Motivational Tales of Success

    • Navigating Financial Disruption With Future Proof Financial Service Deliverability

    • India's Rs 31 Lakh Cr Green Push: Building the Foundation of a Net-Zero Future

    • Wakhariya & Wakhariya: Facilitating International Legal Processes across Diverse Domains

    • Aligning Financial Strategies with Sustainable Business Goals

    • The Top 5 Highest-paid Actors in India - 2024

    • Central Government Proposes Tax on Agricultural Water Usage

    • Carpediem Capital Invests INR 100 Crore, CorporatEdge to Deploy INR 350 Crore in the next 3 Years

    • EPFO Registers All-Time High Member Addition of 20.06 Lakh in May 2025

    • Unearthing Intricacies of Today and Beyond in the Indian Insurance Sector

    • Expected Correction in Housing Prices to Revive Sales in Coming Quarters

    • How to Choose the Right Mutual Fund for your Financial Goals?

    • Future of Corporate Finance: Emerging Trends in Treasury Solutions and Cash Management for MNCs

    • ElasticRun Announces FY24 Financial Results: Key Details

    • Financial Inclusion in Viksit Bharat

    • Abans Financial Services Advises Vaishali Pharma on Strategic Acquisition of Kesar Pharma






    🍪 Do you like Cookies?

    We use cookies to ensure you get the best experience on our website. Read more...

    Copyright © 2026 Finance Outlook India. All rights reserved.   Privacy Policy Terms of Use Blogs Conferences Subscribe WRAPUP’25